It wasn’t that long ago that I wrote a piece about how Wi-Fi 6E isn’t going to move the needle very much in terms of connectivity. I stand by my convictions that the technology is just too new and doesn’t provide a great impetus to force users to upgrade or augment systems that are already deployed. Thankfully, someone at the recent Mobility Field Day 10 went and did a great job of summarizing some of my objections in a much simpler way. Thanks to Nick Swiatecki for this amazing presentation:

He captured so many of my hesitations as he discussed the future of wireless connectivity. And he managed to expand on them perfectly!

New Isn’t Automatically Better

Any time I see someone telling me that Wi-Fi 7 is right around the corner and that we need to see what it brings I can’t help but laugh. There may be devices that have support for it right now, but as Nick points out in the above video, that’s only one part of the puzzle. We still have to wait for the clients and the regulatory bodies to catch up to the infrastructure technology. Could you imagine if we did the same thing with wired networks? If we deployed amazing new cables that ran four times the speed but didn’t interface with the existing Ethernet connections at the client? We’d be laughed out of the building.

Likewise, deploying pre-standard Wi-Fi 7 devices today doesn’t gain you much unless you have a way to access them with a client adapter. Yes, they do exist. Yes, they’re final. However, they’re more final than the Draft 802.11n cards that I deployed years and years ago. That doesn’t mean that we’re going to see a lot of benefit from them however. Because the value of the first generation of a technology is rarely leaps and bounds above what came before it.

A couple of years ago I asked if the M1 MacBook wireless was really slower than the predecessor laptop. Spoiler alert, it is but not so much you’d really notice. Since then we’ve gained two more generations of that hardware and the wireless has gotten faster. Not because the specs have changed in the standard. It’s because the manufacturers have gotten better about building the devices. We’ve squeezed more performance out of them instead of just slapping a label on the box and saying it’s a version number higher or it’s got more of the MHz things so it must be better.

Nick, in the above video, points this out perfectly. People keep asking about Wi-Fi 7 and they miss out on the fact that there’s a lot of technology that needs to run very smoothly in order to give us significant gains in speed over Wi-Fi 6 and Wi-Fi 6E. And those technologies probably aren’t going to be implemented well (if at all) in the first cards and APs that come off the line. In fact, given the history of 802.11 specifications those important features are probably going to be marked as optional anyway to ensure the specifications get passed on time to allow the shipping hardware to be standardized.

In a perfect world you’re going to miss a lot of the advances in the first revision of the hardware. I remember a time when you had to be right under the AP to see the speed increases promised by the “next generation” of wireless. Adding more and more advanced technology to the AP and hoping the client adapters catch up quickly isn’t going to help sell your devices any faster either. Everything has to work together to ensure it all runs smoothly for the users. If you think for a minutes that they aren’t going to call you to tell you that the wireless is running slow then you’re very mistaken. They’re upset they didn’t get the promised speeds on the box or that something along the line is making their experience difficult. That’s the nature of the beast.

Asking the Right Questions

The other part of this discussion is how to ensure that everyone has realistic ideas about what new technology brings. For that, we recorded a great roundtable discussion about Wi-Fi 7 promises and reality:

I think the biggest takeaway from this discussion is that, despite the hype, we’re not ready for Wi-Fi 7 just yet. The key to having this talk with your stakeholders is to remind them that spending the money on the new devices isn’t going to automatically mean increased speeds or enhanced performance. In fact, you’re going to do a great job of talking them out of deploying cutting edge hardware simply by reminding them they aren’t going to see anywhere near the promises from the vendors without investing even more in client hardware or understanding that those amazing fast multi-spectrum speeds aren’t going to be possible on an iPhone.

We’re not even really touching on the reality that some of the best parts of 6GHz aren’t even available yet because of FCC restrictions. Or that we just assume that Wi-Fi 7 will include 6GHz when it doesn’t even have to. That’s especially true of IoT devices. Lower cost devices will likely have lower cost radios for components which means the best speed increases are going to be for the most expensive pieces of the puzzle. Are you ready to upgrade your brand new laptop in six months because a new version of the standard came out that’s just slightly faster?

Those are the questions you have to ask and answer from your stakeholders before you ever decide how the next part of the project is going to proceed. Because there is always going to be faster hardware or newer revisions of the specification for you to understand. And if the goalposts keep moving every time something new comes along you’re either going to be broke or extremely disappointed.

Tom’s Take

I’m glad that Nick from Cisco was able to present at Mobility Field Day. Not only did he confirm what a lot of professionals are thinking but he did it in a way that helped other viewers understand where the challenges with new wireless technologies lie. We may be a bit jaded in the wired world because Ethernet is such a bedrock standard. In the wireless world I promise that clients are always going to be getting more impressive and the amount of time between those leaps is going to shrink even more than it already has. The real question should be whether or not we need to chase that advantage.